The pandemic has made fools of many forecasters. Just about all of the predictions
whiffed. Anthony Fauci was
wrong about masks. California was
wrong about the outdoors. New York was
wrong about the subways. I was wrong about
the necessary cost of pandemic relief. And the Trump White House was wrong about
almost everything else.
In this crowded field of wrongness, one voice stands out. The voice of Alex Berenson: the former
New York Times reporter, Yale-educated novelist, avid tweeter, online essayist, and all-around pandemic gadfly. Berenson has been serving up COVID-19 hot takes for the past year, blithely
predicting that the United States would not reach 500,000 deaths (we’ve surpassed 550,000) and
arguing that cloth and surgical masks can’t protect against the coronavirus (
yes,
they can).
Berenson has a big megaphone. He has more than 200,000 followers on Twitter and millions of viewers for his frequent appearances on Fox News’ most-watched shows. On Laura Ingraham’s show, he
downplayed the vaccines, suggesting that Israel’s experience proved they were considerably less effective than initially claimed. On
Tucker Carlson Tonight, he
predicted that the vaccines would cause an uptick in cases of COVID-related illness and death in the U.S.