thekev
Elite Member
- Joined
- Aug 15, 2020
- Posts
- 1,110
I'm really not sure how that snags people. Even if we assume the presenter is being truthful in his claims, it does not give you statistics regarding people who have applied similar strategies. It also doesn't control for when they start. If he started in a depressed real estate market, this would have a notable impact. It doesn't even determine whether the strategy could continue to work with more people using it. Some things depend on market imbalances, which can change due to behavioral shifts on the part of buyers and sellers. Then, even after all of that, you still have to know about the quality of knowledge transfer.
I would say there's no way to unwind all of that. To really see anything there, I would want to see statistics for a recent cohort that resembles a reasonable cross section of the general population with some acknowledgement of market conditions over the observed duration. Anything less than that is disinformation.