SuperMatt
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I have been reading a lot about how Biden's lead is narrowing, and that Trump still has a chance. I'm sorry, but that's extremely unrealistic.
1. Democrats have always done better when turnout is higher. Turnout among typical Republican voters is pretty high and quite consistent. A clear majority of America supports moderate to liberal policies, but many of them don't vote. Higher turnout means that the margin might be even bigger than the polls.
2. I see a lot of people quote "Real Clear Politics" as if it's a good source. It's not. They are the ones reporting a tightening race, but they include polls that are utter trash. They also make a big deal about "battleground average" which means literally nothing. You can't put all the "battleground" states into a bucket and average it out. And if you look at the opinion pieces on their homepage, they put extremist baloney on there that nobody should be reading.
3. Trump never made an effort to expand his base. I think he will be lucky to get over 62 million votes this time around, and it looks like we could have 150 million total votes... that's complete and utter disaster for him.
4. The GOP Senate knows he's going to lose. If they thought it was close, they would have delayed Barrett's nomination to encourage conservative turnout. They know it's not close, so they used the last vestiges of their power before they lose it next week.
1. Democrats have always done better when turnout is higher. Turnout among typical Republican voters is pretty high and quite consistent. A clear majority of America supports moderate to liberal policies, but many of them don't vote. Higher turnout means that the margin might be even bigger than the polls.
2. I see a lot of people quote "Real Clear Politics" as if it's a good source. It's not. They are the ones reporting a tightening race, but they include polls that are utter trash. They also make a big deal about "battleground average" which means literally nothing. You can't put all the "battleground" states into a bucket and average it out. And if you look at the opinion pieces on their homepage, they put extremist baloney on there that nobody should be reading.
3. Trump never made an effort to expand his base. I think he will be lucky to get over 62 million votes this time around, and it looks like we could have 150 million total votes... that's complete and utter disaster for him.
4. The GOP Senate knows he's going to lose. If they thought it was close, they would have delayed Barrett's nomination to encourage conservative turnout. They know it's not close, so they used the last vestiges of their power before they lose it next week.