I'm not so sure about that. The way he is governing Florida is a nightmare for Democrats and anybody on the left. It's not hypothetical. You have no shortage of direct actions and causes he has taken up that would fire up the left.
I agree wholeheartedly, I just think Trump is more of a known quantity, and I mean that in the sense that enough people know he sucks that he probably drives as much turnout against himself as he does for himself.
I’m not sure DeSantis would drive republicans to the polls for himself either, but democrats need enthusiasm to drive voter turnout, but an anti-Trump Biden vote is just as valid as a pro-Biden vote, and Trump I believe would deliver a lot more “anyone but this freak” votes for Biden than DeSantis would. Disengaged voters probably know enough about Trump, I’m not sure how clued in on DeSantis they are.
It’s just a long-winded way of saying I think Biden fares better against Trump than DeSantis.
It’s an odd dynamic, the GOP, because they can’t quit Trump because he’s the most popular figure in the party, but having 1/3 of republicans dedicated to you and 80% of them willing to vote for you no matter what still is not enough to win an election. That ten or fifteen percent of the party willing to break from Trump with their vote, and 55% or so of independents who probably wouldn’t vote for Trump cannot be overcome in high-turnout elections.
Republicans consistently lose the popular vote even with decent men like Romney and McCain. A guy like Trump and probably to a lesser degree DeSantis may drive up enthusiasm in their party, but they also alarm enough Americans to vote against them.
You do not see that with democratic presidential candidates. You did not see it with Obama, you did not see it with Biden - the opposite was true, which is why they won convincingly. Hillary Clinton did in fact suffer from a huge lack of enthusiasm, and Trump had lots of it - so what does it say that she still won 3 million more votes?