Andropov
Site Champ
- Joined
- Nov 8, 2021
- Posts
- 713
Considering the proportion of people who appear to revert their gender identity back to their biological sex, you would hope we could better assess patients to help them. And when you consider other data around transpeople and the astronomical rise in cases, particularly FTM, there are numerous indications many of these cases may be a social phenomenon rather than a biological/psychological one. Additionally, some cases of GID may be caused by other underlying factors or psychological conditions that may be temporary or treatable without having to resort to hormones and surgery.
How many people do revert their gender identity when transitioning after puberty, though? It is my understanding that detransitioning has been fairly rare in the past. The most significant study I've read on the matter is The Amsterdam Cohort of Gender Dysphoria Study (1972-2015), with 6,793 people treated over 43 years. Of the ~5074 people who underwent a gonadectomy, only 14 (0.6% of the transgender women and 0.3% of the transgender men) reported that they were going to detransition, of which 2 reported due being to feeling non-binary, 5 due to social acceptance issues, and 7 due to what the authors call 'true regret' (0.07% of the sample!).My concern is that we have a large number of people seeking potentially risky treatments with longterm permanent consequences, the majority of whom may come to regret their decision down the road. Children and adolescents are particularly volatile in their beliefs. Being able to best delineate where and when treatment is foundational to modern healthcare. Yet it seems trans healthcare has been entirely hijacked by activists and fear.
Admittedly, even this study has significant limitations: there's no record of the percentage of regrets in people who were on HRT but didn't underwent gonadectomy, which is a significant portion of the sample (~25%), and 36% of the people were lost to follow up. A study in Spain found 8 detransitions among 696 people (1.1%) in HRT, regardless of whether they had received a gonadectomy or not. It's a greater percentage than the one reported by the other study, but not dramatically so, and it takes another variable out of the equation by not sampling only people who underwent gonadectomy. Accounting for people lost to follow-up is obviously more difficult, and this is also a limitation of the spanish study. However, even accounting for a huge margin of error, I think it's safe to say that most people have not regretted their transition.
That's not to say that we should behave as if no people ever detransitioned, but I feel like the public debate on medical transition is often unfairly skewed in favor to those who will eventually realise that they're not transgender. It's not like delaying HRT is without risks for those who choose to transition either: some of the masculinizing/feminizing effects of sexual hormones will be greatly reduced if treatment is started later in life, and —while this is obviously anecdotal evidence and hardly proof of anything— I know some people say that having to undergo the changes of puberty for the gender they didn't identify with was the most traumatic part.
What I want to convey is that waiting around is often portrayed as an innocuous and cautious approach, and this is ultimately not true.
As far as I know, it has been established that the majority of gender dysphoric prepubertal children will not meet the criteria for gender dysphoria as adults and will not be transgender as adults. Working on identifying those who will become transgender adults is still a work in progress, but your specific choice of words reminded me of a (not very sciency, admittedly) quote from the section of Greenspan's Basic & Clinical Endocrinology on transgender endocrinology: [...] persisters believed they "were" the other sex, while desisters "wished they were" the other sex [...]. That same paragraph also mentions how most of those children will, as you say, correspond with homosexuality/bisexuality later in life. Anyway, I think anyone trying to indisputably identify a child as transgender (before puberty) is threading on very thin ice.Agreed on all points. What adolescent doesn't say "this is me now" when joining a new scene/clique/fandom? People don't seem to realize that children and adolescents go through phases. No, that is not me saying "trans is just a phase", it is me saying that some children who are not trans might be mistaken for trans because they are going through a phase and are being encouraged to pursue this path by well-meaning people who are not appreciating the consequences of what they are doing. Gender non-conformity is not uncommon in children. Some studies indicate that gender non-conformity is more likely to correspond with homosexuality or bisexuality later in life. As a young boy, I went through a phase of wanting to be a girl (giving myself a girl's name, wearing my sister's clothes, playing with girl's toys)...but it turned out to be a phase. It may or may not have presaged my bisexuality, I don't know, but it was not a permanent thing and I did not end up being trans. Nowadays I feel like it would've been taken as a sign that I was trans and I should begin "socially transitioning" (which is often the first step towards hormones and puberty blockers). Trans activists are far too gung ho about supposed trans children. A child becoming disillusioned with gender norms and roles does not mean they are trans. I am firmly pro-LGBT but I never approach anything without questioning it and I think we need to be a lot more careful about what we're doing to children.
Once puberty starts though, if the child still identifies as transgender, I think it's unlikely to be a phase. And even for the few that is, this 'phase' burns out before any kind of irreversible medical intervention is carried out. It carries an amount of pressure and social stigma too great for anyone not absolutely sure to go through, unlike scenes/cliques/fandoms, which are essentially 'free to enter' and have a similar feeling of belonging to a group. A more apt comparison, IMHO, would be with sexual orientation. How many people express a non-heterosexual sexual orientation after puberty and then go back?