Beyond they very core of his constituency, that small concentration of voters who love Trump unconditionally, and honestly believe him to be the greatest president who ever lived, most people are voting less for him, and more for the letter behind his name.
There are people who insist on voting Republican, even if they otherwise hate the candidate. It's the reason why McConnell keeps winning in Kentucky, despite the fact that he's not exactly well loved by anyone.
I might not have picked McConnell because he's a special case. Any Senator has a lot of clout.... but a multi-term Senator who's a majority leader has more, and one who managed to help the wealthy thread a needle to paradise for four years (with Trump erratically blocking the way once in awhile because he's so incompetent) and managed to pack the federal bench, prevent removal of an impeached head of state and shepherd three of that guy's picks onto the highest court? Well such a one could practically annex a state next door for a shrine to accommodate the overflow wishing to
worshipaccess his lordship... yeah, and even if the worshippers are Russian oligarchs.
I shipped a few bucks to McGrath but the only way she was going to get McConnell's seat is the only way she'll still get it any time soon, which is if McConnell's seat becomes vacant due to his declining health and the Kentucky governor Andy Beshar (a Democrat) is still in office and decides to appoint her.
But I completely agree w/ your assessment otherwise. And the confusion that analysts have this morning when looking at outcome drift by party so far (either way) signals agreement also. There are people who
just want to revive a Republican Party without Trump atop it, and
people who just want the Senate to stay red because they prefer divided government and hoped Trump would get the boot but weren't sure of course and so sighed and went full on red in 2020, and
people who will almost always vote a particular party line because the other major party is the devil incarnate.
The Trump fanatics --the road show rally groupies and the intimidating caravan artists, who may be somewhat disparate-- are clearly not in the first two categories and it's not entirely clear to me they're in the third one either. They're
authoritarian followers, to borrow the term from that book by Bob Altemeyer and John Dean, "Authoritarian Nightmare: Trump and His Followers".... which is a pretty good read btw.
Past that, who the hell knows. Whoever shows up at the polls to vote is motivated by something and it's not necessarily rational, or in self-interest, or in a perceived national interest either. And a vote for Trump AGAIN that's not based in much more than a bird flung at "the establishment" -- which is now in fact Donald Trump's establishment-- amounts to
"it's a free country, right?"
Well, yeah. Freedom to express political dissent is in fact one of the cornerstones of our brand of democracy, regardless of more particular provenance or any claim to rationality.
The problem with the authoritarian followers of a would be king of 'murica is that their idea of freedom is peculiar and doesn't leave room for dissent or disruption not created by themselves. And Trump himself doesn't talk much about freedom in anything but a pro forma way in speeches he gives from a teleprompter. He mostly talks about how he's persecuted and how his followers are persecuted and how mean everyone is to him and how he's gonna fix that, you watch.
I'll be happy at this point just to see Trump gone from the White House in January. It means that administration including white supremacist policy advisor Stephen Miller gets swept outta there too. There are a lot of concerns about a transition but at least it looks this morning like there will BE one.