USA Election 2024

This was a fun watch. I'd almost given up finding a non Twitter link and the video I converted was too big to share.
Anyway, this just showed up in my IG feed so yay for finding a link I can share.

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This dense chucklef*ck is sounding exactly like who John Kelly said he is, more by the day. I guess with 11 days, he’s given up the very weak facade and is just going full authoritarian. He said Jack Smith should be considered deranged and thrown out of the country. WTF is this empty-headed moron talking about?
 
This dense chucklef*ck is sounding exactly like who John Kelly said he is, more by the day. I guess with 11 days, he’s given up the very weak facade and is just going full authoritarian. He said Jack Smith should be considered deranged and thrown out of the country. WTF is this empty-headed moron talking about?

Maybe Apple can make a custom Vision Pro that makes him believe he’s perpetually at a rally all day, every day. Program the AI to make the crowd go wild when he says certain key phrases. As an ex President he does deserve some special accommodations so he should be allowed to wear it during his court cases and while serving his prison term. We all win!
 
Trump isn’t acting like a man who’s winning or even tied. Trust me, I won’t act surprised if he wins, but if democrats are panicking, they’re not showing it. Trump is exhausted and doing way too many superfluous interviews.

It’s stupid as hell, but many conservatives said Trump couldn’t have lost to Biden because of his crowd sizes. Well, I’m eager to see how that argument holds up this year.

You know something else conservatives aren’t saying this year? “Love it or leave it”. Because Trump isn’t leaving, and he’s trashing America (and Americans) more than any public figure I’ve seen other than maybe Louis Farrakhan or something.
 
Word on the street is MAGA is about as confident in Trump winning as Democrats were confident Hillary was going to win in 2016. Not really pushing that as some kind of karmic payback, but if he does lose how do you think they will handle it? Just cry for a couple days and get over it? It will be a lot worse than 2020.

There is some good news though. Should Trump challenge a close result there are a lot less legal avenues available to him than there were in 2020. After 2020 states, including swing states, actually did look into exploitable loopholes and gray areas and tightened things up. But that’s not sexy news. All we hear about is Republicans prematurely looking for ways to overturn a loss based on 2020. There’s a good chance they don’t even know about these changes blocking their old playbook because they don’t give a shit. They’ll lie regardless because that’s always key to their strategy.
 
If team Trump is confident they will win, Trump didn’t get the memo. This doesn’t come across as confidence. Early voting numbers show republicans are voting in greater numbers, but when pollsters ask who early voters voted for, Harris is winning the vote by a good clip. That suggests independents and republicans are voting for Harris.

Bluster is part of the game, it must be ignored.

(Also, it’s so cute how he puts Cease and Desist at the top - like it carries actual weight.)

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I think for a lot of people, especially journalists who have been critical of the NYT and much of the mainstream press coverage of Trump it has less to do with personally wanting Trump to win either for financial reasons or being philosophically in tune with him as a whole but a toxic mix of factors that has been building within journalism for decades and which the NYT, as the paper of record, is the prime example of. The NYT has something like 11 million subscribers and has huge influence on other media. Yes that influence is declining, but that decline has its own consequences. This is a huge topic and people much more experience than I have written voluminously on the subject. I'll try to condense the various arguments and summarize the factors as briefly as I can:

1) As the mainstream press in general has begin to decline in prominence and, especially as ad revenue has declined, papers and outfits have struggled with how to cope. Many of found refuge with billionaire owners and yes this can be a source of tension. However, with the NYT in particular they have been more successful than most at maintaining and even growing a large subscription base. The NYT has certain ideas not only about how to appeal to the largest possible demographic but also to demonstrate independence from their subscribers who they see as left leaning.

2) While there may be some who see financial success because Trump is in the news, it can be more complicated than that. The NYT is a bastion of so-called "inside baseball" or "savvy" political coverage where sources tell them what is "actually" happening behind the scenes. However, this invariably focuses the writers and editors not on what is materially important for people to know, but what their sources think is materially important for people to know. And spend enough time cultivating those sources and they become a precious commodity. This process of cultivation can itself influence the thinking of editors and reporters, even sub-consciously: they're important to you so what's important to them is important to you. This can even lead to the idea that what a politician says they're doing in private to the journalist (or what a staffer source leaks) is more important than what they are actually doing in the public eye. This becomes almost the ability to hide what you're doing by doing it in plain site in front of everyone. By doing it in plain site, it's not what's "actually happening".

3) There has been a decline in public trust in journalism, especially from the right. This has led to decades of Republicans especially "working the refs". This is also coupled with a longstanding journalistic principle of being "neutral" or, more importantly, being seen to be so. We can see politicians complain about this idea for decades (though no doubt those same politicians happily took advantage of this when they weren't the ones on the receiving end). This is a huge topic with so many tendrils and consequences it would be hard to list them all and maintain a reasonable length post. Bottom line: the Republicans especially have found it very easy to manipulate the media coverage under guise of neutrality and as they have progressed off the cliff face of reality well ... if you're neutral rather than objective ... you have to follow them at least part of the way down. So if you're striving to hard not be "political" in your non-editorial section of the paper (and the editorial section is a whole other problem with this), you end up being very political because an "balanced" coverage of events according to neutrality is actually quite unbalanced with reality. An example of this is "sane-washing" Trump or talking seriously about mass deportations as a housing policy but not as a human policy.

4) One of them consequent to 3 (and 1) is a certain defensiveness to criticism. The NYT famously got rid of a public editor (basically someone pseudo-employed by the paper but who was outside of the paper's normal hierarchy and whose main job was to focus on what the paper did right and wrong and write about that). At the time they wrote that with the rise of social media that they didn't need one because the public would tell them directly. But see point 1, they want to be "independent" from their "liberal readers". They also see criticism from both sides as proof that they are doing the job right. They feel the need to defend themselves because to admit wrong doing would admit their entire premise of how journalism should be conducted is wrong and that would be their life's work. They are also arrogant, especially the NYT. "How can than have made any mistakes? We're the best!" The NYT has categorically refused to admit that maybe its 2016 coverage wasn't the best and criticism of it has has led them to double down - almost like a toddler's oppositional defiance. This can also lead them to being petty and vindictive towards politicians who slight them, especially liberal ones who may feel much more pressure than conservative ones who the NYT knows give much less of a NYC rat's ass what the NYT thinks and even that being criticized by the NYT is a necessary part of being a conservative/Republican politician. Thus it isn't as effective to criticize them, thus the NYT doesn't partake in at as much as they should. As with points 2 and 3, being shameless is a super power.

This is not to say that there aren't explicitly Trump/Republican aligned people within these institutions and that those have an effect or of course entire such journalism outfits, e.g. Murdoch-owned ones. But this is a collection of some of the points, not an exhaustive one, e.g. the idea of politics as entertainment and a horse race wasn't even touched (and there are so many more), of "what's gone wrong" with journalism and media as a whole beyond that and why they've been putting their thumb on the scale while loudly proclaiming that they are not doing so. Naturally a conservative would dispute all of this, but frankly the proof is that Trump exists and continues to be able to operate in the media and political environment which is almost tailor-made for someone like him to succeed. In a healthy political and media environment, he'd been run out on a rail after his first press conference coming down the golden escalator. Of course, in a healthy legal environment, his wealth would not have shielded him from accountability for his fraud and in a healthy entertainment environment he would never have been propped up as a great businessman, which he isn't. Thus, he would never have been in a position to run. So of course many, many things had to go wrong from our politics to our legal system and our journalism media is just a piece of that, perhaps a reflection of the issues we face as a society - as I think I wrote once before in these forums, all of this above assumes our media should be better than us as a whole rather than distorted reflection of who we are or who we perceive ourselves to be. One of the main counterarguments, which you'll be shocked to hear I find wholly unsound from a philosophical, even causal, perspective, is that we the people elected him so "normalizing" him is just a reflection of what we already did. Again, completely backwards since the media was predominately responsible for creating the myth of Trump the businessman out of whole cloth in the first place and have been conditioned for years by that by points 1-4 and all the others I didn't get to (bonus point below).

5) This is really hard to write about and I'm less versed here, so I almost left it off, but I put it here at the end as a bonus section as I still think its important. For all the guff about the mainstream media being liberal and so forth, when it is liberal it is often a particular kind of liberal - the wealthy white male liberal - and when they try to bend over backwards to not appear liberal, its antithesis, rather than other modalities (never mind the wealthy white male conservative). Basically take the example of after Trump's victory in 2016 how much focus was on the supposed "forgotten" person who was white man in a midwest diner from the once-blue wall as opposed to after 2020's Biden's victory and the D's Senate upset the comparative lack of focus on the same people, but often black and female, in Georgia or the black belt (called so because of the farming not the people). This isn't because of necessarily explicit racism or sexism, but an inherent, reflex view of what's important based on the people who make up our journalistic institutions and its power structures. Actually minority voices are ... well ... a minority despite minorities slowly becoming a the majority and of course women making up more than half the population - but much less than that in positions of power and institutional culture has a way of shaping people, or perhaps filtering people, beyond personal identity.

Sorry for the long post, hope it was interesting.
One other important reason I forgot to mention why the news goes soft on Trump: cowardice.


Post owner Bezos, the Amazon founder and one of the world's richest people, has major contracts before the federal government in his other business operations, with billion-dollar implications affecting Amazon's shipping business and cloud computing services as well as his Blue Origin space company.
Bezos brought in Lewis, who has significant conservative bonafides, as publisher and CEO in January. Lewis held the same role at Rupert Murdoch's Wall Street Journal; served as the editor of the London-based Telegraph, which is closely allied with the Tory party; and was a consultant to Conservative Boris Johnson when Johnson was U.K. prime minister.
In his memoir, Collision of Power, Baron wrote that then-Publisher Fred Ryan did not want to make an endorsement in the 2016 race pitting Trump against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
Then-Editorial Page Editor Fred Hiatt considered resigning. Bezos's reply at the time: "Why wouldn't we make an endorsement?"
 
The Washington Post saw fit to weigh in on elections for forty years… and they decide this is the one to stand aside on?

What an idiotic decision. Oh well, it’s a new reality we live in - one in which half the country doesn’t.

The Republican Party has inched towards fascism ever since Obama was elected, and Trump has really ramped it up. I was wondering what took him so long, it’s not like this wasn’t already obvious anyways. The more Trump lives up to being exactly the person we said he was all along - that his supporters denied - they are now cheering the behavior they denied existed in the first place.

Many Trump supporters will say with a straight face “maybe we need a dictator”. So I’m confused at how that defense of Trump meshes with his supporters who claim Biden and Harris are fascists.
 
Imagine if Kamala had called America a "garbage can" Fox News would be on red alert 24/7 until election day.
 
Imagine if Kamala had called America a "garbage can" Fox News would be on red alert 24/7 until election day.

Literally any criticism of Bush or the Iraq war was labeled as anti-American, anti-military, etc. That was a never-ending refrain on Fox for a decade.

We are literally at the point where Trump praises and imitates Hitler, and it’s a collective shrug from them.

I’m tired of them pretending he says things he doesn’t (like when they beef up his dumbass simpleton “ideas” like “drill baby drill” or blanket cutting of regulations as brilliant policy), and ignoring things he actually does say.
 
Kamala Harris speaking to 30,000 enthusiastic fans in Houston.

Trump is late to his rally in Michigan. He’s posting videos and his goofy spokesperson Steven Cheung - the worst spokesperson I’ve ever seen for anyone, ever - was also trying to smooth things over on social media.

Hundreds of people left early after waiting for hours only to find out Trump would be several more hours late.
 
If Trump wins and we go full idocrasy I hope we at least get some moments of levity like Lindsey Graham being outraged at how we can’t take Representative Boobs “Knockers” McTits views on the economy seriously.
 

FIFTH, AND FINALLY, IF EVER THERE WERE an incident that stands for the proposition that democracy, and journalism, cannot rest on the shoulders of oligarchs, this is it.

FiveThirtyEight is currently favoring Trump.

Their model has been slowly but steadily trending that way for a while. It’s one of the reasons why I am very fucking depressed. 53 out of 100 is basically a toss up, but fuck it, it’s depressing.
 
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