USA Election 2024

Citysnaps said:
Spot-on.

If memory serves... excluding Russia, there are 14 post Soviet Union states that are now independent countries. Some (Belarus, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Moldova, Armenia, and Ukraine) do not belong to NATO. If Ukraine falls and is absorbed into Russia with trump's blessing (should he become President), that will certainly embolden Putin to try grabbing the other ones.
Click to expand...
At the very beginning of the war, when Russia still thought they could take Ukraine's entire black sea coast, Lukashenko stood in front of a map with Ukrainian territory divided up ... as well as Moldova. Russia already occupies Transnistria and Moldova is small and poor and Russian generals openly boasted about their ability to take it. And of course they also currently occupy large parts of Georgia. However, Ukraine's dogged defense has at least delayed if not severely curtailed those plans even if we were to abandon them now, but yes eventually they would try again. Of course there is another possibility: even if Russia's plan to reinstall Trump, weaken America, and reduce if not eliminate aid to Ukraine is successful the other European countries, especially the Baltics, Nordics, and Poland might take a more active role in Ukraine's defense - the Dutch, the Brits, and the French would be happy to help. Basically Trump's plans to help Putin could backfire and lead to a larger European War. And if not, then Ukraine untethered from aid, fighting an existential war, would become an even more brutal conflict. If Trump cuts aid, all the possible outcomes are bad.
 
Romney on why he won’t endorse Harris:
1727461071166.png

Of course there are large Mormon communities in Arizona and Nevada who could be swayed by his endorsement. And as for his second point, Trump winning would destroy any chance of his influencing the “future direction of the party” far more than endorsing Harris. Indeed if Harris wins out and Cheney et al tried to rebuild the conservative movement either in a new party or outside it, those that actively opposed Trump will have more influence on that project than those who sat on the sidelines.
 
Polling is looking good, just can't let up. I would be nice to see her take a red state or two just to put any questions to bed but it'll likely be close no matter how you look at it.

www.newsweek.com

Kamala Harris' chances surge in major election forecast

The surge for Kamala Harris caps off another positive week for the vice president in the presidential polls.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com
Kamala Harris has seen a significant boost in her 2024 election prospects, according to a major new forecast.

The Economist's latest election forecast shows that Harris now has a 3 in 5 chance of winning the Electoral College in November, compared to Donald Trump's 2 in 5 chance. This marks the vice president's strongest position since becoming the Democratic presidential candidate. The forecast also shows that Harris is expected to pick up 281 Electoral College votes, while Trump is expected to win only 257.

Over the past three weeks, Harris' chances have risen sharply by 10 percent, up from an even split with Trump on September 8, when both had a 50-50 chance of victory, with the Democrat predicted to pick up 270 Electoral College votes—just enough to win—while the Republican was predicted to win 268 votes.

Harris' overall chances of winning the election have also increased by 6 percent since September 8, from 52 percent to 58 percent, while Trump's chances have declined by 7 percent, from 48 to 41 percent.

Meanwhile, the forecast shows that the vice president is predicted to win in four swing states—Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin—while Trump is predicted to triumph in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona.
 
Eric said:
Polling is looking good, just can't let up. I would be nice to see her take a red state or two just to put any questions to bed but it'll likely be close no matter how you look at it.

www.newsweek.com

Kamala Harris' chances surge in major election forecast

The surge for Kamala Harris caps off another positive week for the vice president in the presidential polls.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com
Kamala Harris has seen a significant boost in her 2024 election prospects, according to a major new forecast.

The Economist's latest election forecast shows that Harris now has a 3 in 5 chance of winning the Electoral College in November, compared to Donald Trump's 2 in 5 chance. This marks the vice president's strongest position since becoming the Democratic presidential candidate. The forecast also shows that Harris is expected to pick up 281 Electoral College votes, while Trump is expected to win only 257.

Over the past three weeks, Harris' chances have risen sharply by 10 percent, up from an even split with Trump on September 8, when both had a 50-50 chance of victory, with the Democrat predicted to pick up 270 Electoral College votes—just enough to win—while the Republican was predicted to win 268 votes.

Harris' overall chances of winning the election have also increased by 6 percent since September 8, from 52 percent to 58 percent, while Trump's chances have declined by 7 percent, from 48 to 41 percent.

Meanwhile, the forecast shows that the vice president is predicted to win in four swing states—Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin—while Trump is predicted to triumph in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona.
Click to expand...
GA and AZ suffered significant electoral shenanigans in 2020. You’d think both of those states would be so done with MAGA bullshit.
 
Edd said:
GA and AZ suffered significant electoral shenanigans in 2020. You’d think both of those states would be so done with MAGA bullshit.
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Right, I'll be looking for long lines of younger voters... nothing scares Republicans more.
 
The state of the GOP and, I reckon, their voters.

apple.news

The Republican Freak Show — The Atlantic

Politics Like the man who leads it, the GOP is not just incidentally grotesque. It is grotesque at its core. September 28, 2024 The GOP is a moral freak show, and freak shows attract freaks. Which is why Mark Robinson fits in so well in today’s Republican Party. Robinson, the Republican...
apple.news apple.news
 
Freaking Amazing:



I also picked this up from all places, MacRumors. I believe it can be seen at places other than Amazon:

Watch Bad Faith | Prime Video

The current day assault on democracy did not begin with Trumpism. It did not begin with the Tea Party. It did not begin with the Moral Majority. It did not even begin in this century. The current day assault on democracy began with the White Supremacy Movement in the 1960's as part of a shrewd...
www.amazon.com
 

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